The hotel market in Louisville, Kentucky, has experienced a slow recovery since the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic. While a copious amount of new supply over the past few years has slowed the recovery, ADR has grown steadily. The area will continue to be supported by bourbon tourism, the University of Louisville, and the Kentucky Derby.
Recent Hotel Trends
Since 2020, the Louisville hotel market has seen an increase in leisure travel associated with bourbon tourism, its nearby universities, and the Kentucky Derby. It is because of these large demand generators that the market has been able to recover most of its occupancy-based COVID-19 losses. Commercial travel has also helped to bolster the market. As employees have begun to return to offices and as business travel has increased, demand within this segment has improved.
While some properties were able to recover occupancy faster than others, a large amount of new supply has entered the market over the past few years, hindering some areas. However, because of this new supply, ADR was able to make a bigger improvement during the recovery. As illustrated in the map below, more supply is on the way.
Recent and Planned New Hotel Supply in Louisville
Source: STR
The outlook for the Louisville hotel market is optimistic. The heavy increase in supply will not hinder the area’s growth, as the market has already begun to absorb the room supply well. Thus, the momentum of the last few years should continue through the second half of 2023.
Bourbonism
The bourbon industry in Louisville is a vital and thriving part of the city's economy and culture. The state of Kentucky produces 95% of the bourbon sold and consumed in the entire world, and Louisville serves as a hub for bourbon production, distribution, and tourism.
The city of Louisville holds annual events and festivals such as Bourbon & Beyond that drive leisure travel. Additionally, the countless distilleries, including the 42 along the Kentucky Bourbon Trail alone, birthed the term “bourbonism.” This word is used to describe bourbon tourism in Kentucky.
Higher Education
The education sector is strong in Louisville. The University of Louisville celebrated its 225th anniversary this April. Moreover, the University of Louisville and University of Louisville Health both sit in the city’s top employer list. In mid-year 2022, the University of Louisville Health announced plans for the $144-million addition of a new seven-story tower on campus. The project is currently under construction and is expected to be completed by the fall of 2024.
Horse Racing
The Kentucky Derby dates back to 1875 with the opening of Churchill Downs, a historic horse-racing complex that brings thousands of visitors to Louisville each May. The 2023 race-day crowd set a record with 54,848 in attendance, a 14.6% increase from 2022.
In preparation for its 150th anniversary, Churchill Downs is currently undergoing a complete renovation. A $200-million transformation of the paddock that was originally built in 1988 began in January 2023 and is expected to be completed by the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Other projects will include the construction of permanent stadium seating, a sports bar, a VIP lounge, and multiple dining venues, as well as a 900-machine, state-of-the-art gaming floor.
Looking Forward
The city of Louisville is expected to continue the momentum of 2022 given the recovery of the tourism industry. With a 2023 calendar full of music festivals, conventions, collegiate and youth sports, and cultural and educational group events, the outlook is optimistic for this market. Below is a list of the 16 events this year with the highest projected estimated (or actual) economic impact for the Louisville area.
16 Largest Events in Louisville for 2023
Source: Louisville Tourism Press Office, 2023
For more information or to inquire about a specific project, please contact Kaitlyn Hennessy of the HVS St. Louis office.
About Kaitlyn Hennessy
Kaitlyn Hennessy is a consulting and valuation Project Manager with the HVS St. Louis office. She graduated with honors from Lasell University in May 2022 with a Bachelor of Science in Hospitality Management. While studying at Lasell University, she worked to grow her network while interning with Marriott International and ETQ. She holds Certifications in Hotel Industry Analytics and Problem-Solving Yellow Belt Training and is certified in Hospitality Management Leadership, Revenue Management, COVID-19 Precautions for Hotels, and Guest Service Professionals. Contact Kaitlyn at +1 (603) 921-0707 or khennessy@hvs.com.